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Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 29, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Benfica

Sporting Lisbon
1 - 0
Benfica

Catamo (29')
Reis (59'), Israel (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Otamendi (34'), Bah (58'), Araujo (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Estoril
Monday, December 23 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 1-2 Benfica

Games between Sporting Lisbon and Benfica have often served up fireworks and we anticipate another action-packed contest at the Estadio Jose Alvalade with plenty of goalmouth action. As Aguias head into the weekend as the more in-form side, and we predict that they will heap more misery on the out-of-sorts hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Benfica win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawBenfica
42.75% (0.0040000000000049 0) 24.97%32.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.86% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.61%46.39% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.32% (0.0010000000000012 0)68.67% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)21.7% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.14% (0.0049999999999955 0)54.86% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.37% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)62.84% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 42.75%
    Benfica 32.28%
    Draw 24.96%
Sporting LisbonDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 9.08%
2-1 @ 8.98%
2-0 @ 6.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.53%
3-2 @ 2.96%
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.35%
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 42.75%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 5.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.82%
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.99% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.29%
2-3 @ 2.51%
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 32.28%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica

Sporting Lisbon
23.0%
Draw
17.6%
Benfica
59.5%
74
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 28
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Benfica
Catamo (1', 90+1')
Catamo (4'), Santos (5'), Hjulmand (27'), Paulinho (90+6')
Bah (45+3')
Otamendi (27'), Neres (39'), Bah (45+1'), Tengstedt (74'), Aursnes (86'), Silva (90+9')
Aursnes (90+8')
Apr 2, 2024 8.45pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Benfica
2-2
Sporting Lisbon
Otamendi (52'), Silva (64')
di Maria (45+3'), Schmidt (90+7')
Hjulmand (47'), Paulinho (55')
Inacio (49'), Morita (72'), Israel (77'), Edwards (90+2')
Feb 29, 2024 8.45pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Benfica
Goncalves (9'), Gyokeres (54')
Hjulmand (33'), Paulinho (41')
Aursnes (68')
Schmidt (0'), Otamendi (31'), di Maria (74'), Kokcu (75'), Silva (78')
Nov 12, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 11
Benfica
2-1
Sporting Lisbon
Neves (90+4'), Tengstedt (90+7')
Mario (66'), Neves (75')
Gyokeres (45')
Coates (15'), Inacio (22'), Edwards (57'), Hjulmand (69'), Neto (90+11')
Inacio (51')
May 21, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 33
Sporting Lisbon
2-2
Benfica
Trincao (39'), Diomande (44')
Diomande (48'), Coates (88')
Aursnes (71'), Neves (90+4')
Silva (40'), Chiquinho (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon19152253143947
2Benfica19132443142941
3Porto19132442152741
4Braga19114434191537
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1910272120132
6Casa Pia198652523230
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes196852825326
8Estoril PraiaEstoril196672230-824
9MoreirenseMoreirense196582226-423
10Rio AveRio Ave196582032-1223
11Gil Vicente195772228-622
12FamalicaoFamalicao194962024-421
13Nacional1954101626-1019
14AroucaArouca1954101630-1419
15AVS193971527-1218
16Estrela Amadora1945101630-1417
17SC FarenseFarense1936101225-1315
18BoavistaBoavista1926111332-1912


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