Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Benfica has a probability of 32.29% and a draw has a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Benfica win is 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.75%).
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Benfica |
42.75% | 24.97% | 32.29% |
Both teams to score 56.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.61% | 46.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.32% | 68.68% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.29% | 21.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.14% | 54.87% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.63% | 27.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.16% | 62.84% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 9.08% 2-1 @ 8.98% 2-0 @ 6.93% 3-1 @ 4.57% 3-0 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.46% Total : 42.75% | 1-1 @ 11.75% 0-0 @ 5.94% 2-2 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 7.7% 1-2 @ 7.62% 0-2 @ 4.99% 1-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 40 |
2 | Benfica | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 8 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 23 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 16 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 15 |
14 | AVS | 16 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 14 |
15 | Nacional | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 13 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
17 | BoavistaBoavista | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 12 |
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