Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30

Apr 19, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave
1 - 1
Arouca

Joca (36')
Nobrega (45'), Tanlongo (70'), Manuel (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mujica (47')
Sylla (42'), Weverson (78'), Bambu (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-2 Rio Ave
Sunday, April 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Arouca

All competitions

Last Game: Arouca 2-1 Boavista
Sunday, April 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Friday's encounter promises to be an exciting one as two impressive runs of form are pitted against one another, and we see the visitors' winning streak being ended in a competitive draw. Rio Ave have certainly shown their resilience in recent weeks, holding high-flying opposition on several occasions, and with home advantage and the need for continued results in their survival bid, we fancy them to take a share of the spoils again when they meet an in-form Arouca side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	Arouca
37.65% ( -0.08)	26.31% ( 0.02)	36.04% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 53.18% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.49% (

-0.07)

51.5% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.69% (

-0.06)

73.31% (

0.06)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.39% (

-0.08)

26.61% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.17% (

-0.11)

61.83% (

0.11)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.46% (

0.01)

27.54% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.95% (

0.01)

63.05% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 37.65%

Arouca 36.04%

Draw 26.31%

Rio Ave	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 37.65%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.31%	0-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 36.04%