Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
We said: Rio Ave 1-1 Arouca
Friday's encounter promises to be an exciting one as two impressive runs of form are pitted against one another, and we see the visitors' winning streak being ended in a competitive draw.
Rio Ave have certainly shown their resilience in recent weeks, holding high-flying opposition on several occasions, and with home advantage and the need for continued results in their survival bid, we fancy them to take a share of the spoils again when they meet an in-form Arouca side.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 37.65% . A win for Arouca had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.3% .
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.42%) . The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result Rio Ave Draw Arouca 37.65% ( -0.08) 26.31% ( 0.02) 36.04% ( 0.07)
Both teams to score 53.18% ( -0.05)
48.49% ( -0.07) 51.5% ( 0.07)
26.69% ( -0.06) 73.31% ( 0.06)
73.39% ( -0.08) 26.61% ( 0.08)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 38.17% ( -0.11) 61.83% ( 0.11)
72.46% ( 0.01) 27.54% ( -0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 36.95% ( 0.01) 63.05% ( -0.01)
Rio Ave 37.65%
Arouca 36.04%
Draw 26.31%
Rio Ave Draw Arouca 1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 37.65% 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.31% 0-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 36.04%
How you voted: Rio Ave vs Arouca
20
rhs 2.0
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