Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13
Dec 10, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca2 - 2Rio Ave
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Boavista 0-4 Arouca
Sunday, December 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, December 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Arouca 2-1 Rio Ave
Both teams will head into the weekend with a degree of confidence and the need for a result against a relegation rival, and we anticipate a tight contest. The appointment of Daniel Sousa clearly had a positive effect on Arouca as they dished out a 4-0 beating in their first game under the new boss last weekend, and we fancy them to make it two in a row and come out on top on home turf. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 36.63%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Rio Ave |
36.3% ( -0.02) | 27.07% ( 0.06) | 36.63% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.69% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
