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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 26, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Chaves

Rio Ave
1 - 0
Chaves

Ronaldo (53')
Pereira (28'), Sa (43'), Pantalon (59'), Graca (79'), Ukra (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sylla (34'), Teixeira (34'), Ponck (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 1-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, February 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 2-3 Sporting Lisbon
Monday, February 20 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Rio Ave 2-1 Chaves

With just two points separating Rio Ave and Chaves in the league standings, we expect a thrilling contest on Sunday. The Vilacondenses have been solid on home turf this season and we fancy them claiming all three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rio Ave.

Result
Rio AveDrawChaves
40.63% (-0.173 -0.17) 28.64% (0.071999999999999 0.07) 30.73% (0.101 0.1)
Both teams to score 45.05% (-0.16 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.78% (-0.218 -0.22)61.22% (0.216 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.84% (-0.163 -0.16)81.15% (0.16199999999999 0.16)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.44% (-0.20400000000001 -0.2)29.56% (0.204 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.42% (-0.25 -0.25)65.58% (0.25 0.25)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.96% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)36.04% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.18% (-0.044 -0.04)72.82% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 40.62%
    Chaves 30.73%
    Draw 28.64%
Rio AveDrawChaves
1-0 @ 12.98% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.08% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.28% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.22% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 40.62%
1-1 @ 13.25% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.65% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.64%
0-1 @ 10.87% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 6.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.55% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 30.73%

How you voted: Rio Ave vs Chaves

Rio Ave
72.7%
Draw
21.2%
Chaves
6.1%
33
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2022 9.15pm
Chaves
1-1
Rio Ave
Hernandez (32')
Acevedo (90')
Joca (6')
Mar 8, 2019 8.30pm
Chaves
1-1
Rio Ave
Niltinho (82')
William (8'), Djavan (17'), Costinha (24'), Jefferson (35')
Semedo (27')
Augusto (8'), Galeno (33'), Tarantini (36'), Coentrao (40'), Leonardo (71'), Nadjack (72')
Augusto (22')
Oct 27, 2018 6pm
Rio Ave
1-0
Chaves
Galeno (66')
Lopes (77'), Galeno (93'), Coentrao (97')

Eustaquio (49'), Paulinho (58'), Perdigao (94')
Apr 29, 2018 4pm
Rio Ave
2-1
Chaves
Pele (66' pen., 80' pen.)
Geraldes (45'), Tarantini (51'), Marcelo (74'), Lopes (82'), Ribeiro (84'), Teixeira (96'), Cassio (96')
Pereira (94')
Duarte (26'), Eustaquio (60'), Paulinho (80'), Pereira (82'), William (99')
Perdigao (65'), Platiny (100')
Dec 17, 2017 4pm
Chaves
1-1
Rio Ave
Bressan (71')
Duarte (11'), Bardini Bressan (24'), Pereira (49')
Novais (6')
Nadjack (41'), Cassio (83'), Tarantini (84'), Ribeiro (85')
Marcelo (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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