Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rio Ave.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Chaves |
40.63% ( -0.17) | 28.64% ( 0.07) | 30.73% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 45.05% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.78% ( -0.22) | 61.22% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.84% ( -0.16) | 81.15% ( 0.16) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.44% ( -0.2) | 29.56% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.42% ( -0.25) | 65.58% ( 0.25) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.96% ( -0.04) | 36.04% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.18% ( -0.04) | 72.82% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Chaves |
1-0 @ 12.98% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.5% Total : 40.62% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.64% | 0-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 30.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
2 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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