MX23RW : Monday, December 23 19:58:22| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 26, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Chaves

Rio Ave
1 - 0
Chaves

Ronaldo (53')
Pereira (28'), Sa (43'), Pantalon (59'), Graca (79'), Ukra (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sylla (34'), Teixeira (34'), Ponck (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 1-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, February 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 2-3 Sporting Lisbon
Monday, February 20 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Rio Ave 2-1 Chaves

With just two points separating Rio Ave and Chaves in the league standings, we expect a thrilling contest on Sunday. The Vilacondenses have been solid on home turf this season and we fancy them claiming all three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rio Ave.

Result
Rio AveDrawChaves
40.63% (-0.173 -0.17) 28.64% (0.071999999999999 0.07) 30.73% (0.101 0.1)
Both teams to score 45.05% (-0.16 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.78% (-0.218 -0.22)61.22% (0.216 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.84% (-0.163 -0.16)81.15% (0.16199999999999 0.16)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.44% (-0.20400000000001 -0.2)29.56% (0.204 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.42% (-0.25 -0.25)65.58% (0.25 0.25)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.96% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)36.04% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.18% (-0.044 -0.04)72.82% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 40.62%
    Chaves 30.73%
    Draw 28.64%
Rio AveDrawChaves
1-0 @ 12.98% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.08% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.28% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.22% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 40.62%
1-1 @ 13.25% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.65% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.64%
0-1 @ 10.87% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 6.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.55% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 30.73%

How you voted: Rio Ave vs Chaves

Rio Ave
72.7%
Draw
21.2%
Chaves
6.1%
33
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2022 9.15pm
Chaves
1-1
Rio Ave
Hernandez (32')
Acevedo (90')
Joca (6')
Mar 8, 2019 8.30pm
Chaves
1-1
Rio Ave
Niltinho (82')
William (8'), Djavan (17'), Costinha (24'), Jefferson (35')
Semedo (27')
Augusto (8'), Galeno (33'), Tarantini (36'), Coentrao (40'), Leonardo (71'), Nadjack (72')
Augusto (22')
Oct 27, 2018 6pm
Rio Ave
1-0
Chaves
Galeno (66')
Lopes (77'), Galeno (93'), Coentrao (97')

Eustaquio (49'), Paulinho (58'), Perdigao (94')
Apr 29, 2018 4pm
Rio Ave
2-1
Chaves
Pele (66' pen., 80' pen.)
Geraldes (45'), Tarantini (51'), Marcelo (74'), Lopes (82'), Ribeiro (84'), Teixeira (96'), Cassio (96')
Pereira (94')
Duarte (26'), Eustaquio (60'), Paulinho (80'), Pereira (82'), William (99')
Perdigao (65'), Platiny (100')
Dec 17, 2017 4pm
Chaves
1-1
Rio Ave
Bressan (71')
Duarte (11'), Bardini Bressan (24'), Pereira (49')
Novais (6')
Nadjack (41'), Cassio (83'), Tarantini (84'), Ribeiro (85')
Marcelo (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
2Porto1512123692737
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!