Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24

Mar 12, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estádio dos Barreiros

Maritimo
0 - 3
Benfica

Martins Teixeira Gomes (0'), Rene (29'), Afonso (52'), Vidigal (72')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Neres (45+3', 57'), Mario (50')
Neres (43'), Aursnes (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maritimo

All competitions

Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-0 Maritimo
Sunday, March 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 5-1 Brugge
Tuesday, March 7 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Benfica will be licking their lips as they take on a struggling Maritimo side who have lost five of their last six matches. As Aguias currently appear unstoppable and given the gulf in class and quality between the two sides, we are backing them to come away with another huge victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 75.89%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 8.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.38%) and 0-3 (10.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.47%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
Maritimo	Draw	Benfica
8.38% ( 0.08)	15.73% ( 0.16)	75.89% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 43.71% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.64% (

-0.47)

41.36% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.25% (

-0.48)

63.75% (

0.48)

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.13% (

-0.12)

51.87% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.08% (

-0.08)

85.92% (

0.08)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.81% (

-0.17)

9.19% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.87% (

-0.42)

31.13% (

0.42)

Score Analysis

Maritimo 8.38%

Benfica 75.89%

Draw 15.73%

Maritimo	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 8.38%	1-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 2.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.56% Total : 15.73%	0-2 @ 13.58% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 10.8% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 7.09% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 6.45% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 4.23% ( -0.06) 0-5 @ 3.08% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 2.02% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 0-6 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.4% Total : 75.89%