We said: SC Farense 2-1 AVS
With both sides having earned morale-boosting draws in their previous outing, this could prove to be a competitive fixture between two teams on a high. Despite sitting lower in the table, we are going to side with Farense, who may throw caution to the wind in the closing stages if the game is tight.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AVS win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AVS win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AVS in this match.