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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis

Farense
0 - 1
AVS


Lopes (63'), Velho (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Luis (90+6' pen.)
Tavares (8'), Grau (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and AVS, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arouca 2-2 Farense
Sunday, February 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: AVS 2-2 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, February 23 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: SC Farense 2-1 AVS

With both sides having earned morale-boosting draws in their previous outing, this could prove to be a competitive fixture between two teams on a high. Despite sitting lower in the table, we are going to side with Farense, who may throw caution to the wind in the closing stages if the game is tight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AVS win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AVS win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AVS in this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawAVS
32.36% (0.012 0.01) 27.43% (0.123 0.12) 40.21% (-0.138 -0.14)
Both teams to score 49.01% (-0.365 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.49% (-0.464 -0.46)56.51% (0.461 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.5% (-0.375 -0.38)77.5% (0.371 0.37)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.62% (-0.229 -0.23)32.38% (0.226 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.11% (-0.258 -0.26)68.89% (0.255 0.25)
AVS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.48% (-0.295 -0.3)27.52% (0.292 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.97% (-0.38399999999999 -0.38)63.03% (0.38 0.38)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 32.35%
    AVS 40.2%
    Draw 27.42%
SC FarenseDrawAVS
1-0 @ 10.04% (0.106 0.11)
2-1 @ 7.31% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.67% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.75% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 32.35%
1-1 @ 12.96% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.91% (0.157 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.42%
0-1 @ 11.49% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 8.36% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.42% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.6% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.19% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 40.2%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 7
AVS
0-0
Farense
Grau (21'), Assuncao (22'), Jorge (45'), Barbosa (65'), Piazon (71')
Africo (40'), Lopes (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon25185267224559
2Benfica24182456183856
3Porto25155549202950
4Braga25155541221950
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2512492625140
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes2591153427738
7Casa Pia2510693132-136
8Estoril PraiaEstoril259883340-735
9FamalicaoFamalicao2581072826234
10Rio AveRio Ave2578102740-1329
11MoreirenseMoreirense2577113037-728
12AroucaArouca2577112438-1428
13Nacional2575132335-1226
14Gil Vicente2458112436-1223
15Estrela Amadora2558122136-1523
16AVS25411102035-1523
17SC FarenseFarense2538141736-1917
18BoavistaBoavista2536161642-2615


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