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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 1, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Estrela Amadora

Sporting Lisbon
5 - 1
Estrela Amadora

Gyokeres (19', 31', 42' pen., 70'), Araujo (85')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Pinho (35')
Daniel Valente Moreira (4'), Bucca (41'), Cordeiro (44'), Ferro (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Nacional
Tuesday, October 29 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Estrela Amadora

Following a poor start to the campaign, Estrela Amadora find themselves scrambling for points at the bottom end of the table and are in for a tough 90 minutes against a Sporting Lisbon firing on all cylinders. The Leoes have made their home ground a fortress, going unbeaten in each of their 19 competitive home games since the turn of the year, and we are backing them to make it five wins on the bounce against the visitors this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 91.09%. A draw had a probability of 6.6% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 2.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.62%) and 2-0 (11.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.13%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (0.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawEstrela Amadora
91.09% (0.045999999999992 0.05) 6.57% (-0.0301 -0.03) 2.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 37.41% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.24% (0.10599999999999 0.11)23.76% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.72% (0.139 0.14)43.28% (-0.134 -0.13)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.03% (0.024000000000001 0.02)2.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.58% (0.072000000000003 0.07)13.42% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
38.56% (0.015000000000001 0.02)61.44% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.63% (0.0068999999999999 0.01)91.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 91.08%
    Estrela Amadora 2.33%
    Draw 6.58%
Sporting LisbonDrawEstrela Amadora
3-0 @ 13.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 11.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.28% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
5-0 @ 8.18% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.42% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 5.66% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.5% (-0.015 -0.01)
6-0 @ 4.79% (0.022 0.02)
5-1 @ 3.98% (0.012 0.01)
7-0 @ 2.41% (0.016 0.02)
6-1 @ 2.33% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
7-1 @ 1.17% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
8-0 @ 1.06% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 91.08%
1-1 @ 3.13% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.83% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 1.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 6.58%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 2.33%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Estrela Amadora

Sporting Lisbon
93.3%
Draw
3.3%
Estrela Amadora
3.3%
60
Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 27
Estrela Amadora
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Bucca (16')
Cordeiro (31'), Genezio (37'), N'do (67')
Paulinho (23'), Santos (40')
Reis (22')
Nov 5, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 10
Sporting Lisbon
3-2
Estrela Amadora
Braganca (33'), Edwards (71'), Paulinho (79')
Goncalves (76')
Jaba (50' pen.), Kikas (55')
Kikas (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Porto17131340112940
3Benfica17122338112738
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1710161816231
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao174852020020
10Rio AveRio Ave175571828-1020
11Gil Vicente174761926-719
12Estoril PraiaEstoril174671828-1018
13Nacional174491323-1016
14Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
15AVS172961324-1115
16AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
17SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512


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