Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 55.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 20.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.51%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
20.38% (![]() | 24.11% (![]() | 55.51% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.94% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.28% (![]() | 51.72% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.5% (![]() | 73.49% (![]() |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.06% (![]() | 39.94% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.4% (![]() | 76.6% (![]() |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.49% (![]() | 18.5% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.27% (![]() | 49.72% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 6.78% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.25% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.11% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.61% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 1.32% Total : 20.38% | 1-1 @ 11.44% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.39% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.43% ( ![]() Other @ 0.84% Total : 24.1% | 0-1 @ 12.46% (![]() 0-2 @ 10.51% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.65% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.92% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.43% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 3.19% Total : 55.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 59 | 18 | 41 | 52 |
2 | Benfica | 22 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 18 | 32 | 50 |
3 | Porto | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 43 |
4 | Braga | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 38 |
6 | Casa Pia | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 33 |
7 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 31 |
8 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 30 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 26 |
10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 25 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 24 |
13 | Nacional | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 23 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 22 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 20 |
16 | AVS | 21 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 18 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |