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Hamilton logo
Scottish Challenge Cup | Quarter-Finals
Nov 30, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Fountain of Youth Stadium
Kilmarnock logo

Hamilton
2 - 3
Kilmarnock

Moyo (68'), Ryan (86' pen.)
Virtanen (29'), Stirling (32')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Armstrong (53'), Sanders (89', 90+4')
Warnock (72'), Alston (78'), Stokes (85')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Quarter-Finals clash between Hamilton Academical and Kilmarnock.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 51.98%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 22.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.78%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 1-0 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
Hamilton AcademicalDrawKilmarnock
22.97%25.04%51.98%
Both teams to score 49.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.36%52.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.71%74.29%
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.13%37.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.35%74.64%
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.75%20.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.42%52.58%
Score Analysis
    Hamilton Academical 22.97%
    Kilmarnock 51.98%
    Draw 25.04%
Hamilton AcademicalDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 7.44%
2-1 @ 5.77%
2-0 @ 3.61%
3-1 @ 1.87%
3-2 @ 1.49%
3-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 22.97%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 7.67%
2-2 @ 4.61%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 12.24%
0-2 @ 9.78%
1-2 @ 9.5%
0-3 @ 5.21%
1-3 @ 5.06%
2-3 @ 2.46%
0-4 @ 2.08%
1-4 @ 2.02%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 51.98%

Head to Head
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 10
Kilmarnock
2-1
Hamilton
Shaw (5'), Armstrong (74')
Alston (68')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 3
Hamilton
0-2
Kilmarnock

McMann (62')
Robinson (60', 70')
Burke (82')
May 16, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 5
Hamilton
0-2
Kilmarnock

Martin (72')
Pinnock (9', 44')
Dicker (35'), Haunstrup (47'), Kiltie (57'), Oakley (90+3')
Jan 9, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 23
Kilmarnock
2-0
Hamilton
Kiltie (36', 63')

Hamilton (90+1')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 16
Hamilton
1-0
Kilmarnock
Callachan (73' pen.)
Fulton (79'), Stirling (85'), Owolabi (89')

McGowan (63'), Haunstrup (72')
Dikamona (29')
rhs 2.0
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