Russian Premier League | Gameweek 19
Mar 11, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Otkrytiye Arena
Spartak Moscow3 - 2Fakel
FT(HT: 2-2)
Appaev (43'), Rabei (45+3' pen.)
Morozov (20'), Kvekveskiri (49'), Cherov (52'), Appaev (53'), Suslov (76'), Magal (78')
Morozov (20'), Kvekveskiri (49'), Cherov (52'), Appaev (53'), Suslov (76'), Magal (78')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Spartak Moscow and Fakel.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Spartak Moscow 2-2 Ural
Saturday, March 4 at 11am in Russian Premier League
Saturday, March 4 at 11am in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Fakel 1-1 Khimki
Friday, March 3 at 4pm in Russian Premier League
Friday, March 3 at 4pm in Russian Premier League
Goals
for
for
22
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 77.04%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 8.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.76%), while for a Fakel win it was 1-2 (2.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.
Result | ||
Spartak Moscow | Draw | Fakel |
77.04% ( -0.02) | 14.39% ( 0.01) | 8.56% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.84% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.04% ( -0.02) | 33.96% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.18% ( -0.02) | 55.82% ( 0.03) |
Spartak Moscow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.79% ( -0.01) | 7.21% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.84% ( -0.02) | 26.16% ( 0.03) |
Fakel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.72% ( 0.02) | 46.28% ( -0.01) |