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Schalke
Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
May 30, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
VELTINS-Arena
Werder Bremen logo

Schalke
0 - 1
Werder Bremen


Gregoritsch (3'), Todibo (26'), McKennie (44'), Boujellab (83'), Kabak (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bittencourt (32')
Langkamp (20'), Osako (63'), Selke (90+3')

Preview: Schalke 04 vs. Werder Bremen - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Schalke 04 and Werder Bremen, including team news and predicted lineups.

Relegation-threatened Werder Bremen will be looking to build on two positive results when they travel to an out-of-form Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga on Saturday afternoon.

Bremen, who occupy 17th spot in the table, have picked up four points from their last two matches, but Schalke have lost each of their three games since the Bundesliga resumed on May 16.


Match preview

Schalke head coach David Wagner pictured on May 16, 2020© Reuters

Schalke's search for their first Bundesliga win since the middle of January will continue this weekend, and there is no question that the club's supporters will be looking for their side to bounce back as soon as possible.

Not since a 2-0 success at home to Borussia Monchengladbach on January 17 have Schalke collected all three points in the league, while they have now lost five of their last six in Germany's top flight.

David Wagner's side played out a 1-1 draw with Hoffenheim before the Bundesliga was called to a halt in March, but Die Konigsblauen have lost each of their three matches since the action resumed on May 16.

Indeed, a 4-0 defeat to Borussia Dortmund was followed by a 3-0 reverse at home to Augsburg, before they suffered a 2-1 defeat at struggling Fortuna Dusseldorf on Wednesday night.

Schalke are still ninth in the table but have now fallen five points off sixth-placed Wolfsburg in the race for a Europa League spot, meaning that a positive result this weekend is vital.

Werder Bremen attacker Milot Rashica in action against Borussia Dortmund on February 4, 2020© Reuters

Bremen remain in a difficult position in the table, with a total of 22 points from 27 matches leaving them 17th position, six points behind 15th-placed Mainz 05.

Florian Kohfeldt's side have a game in hand over every side in the division other than Eintracht Frankfurt, though, and have picked up four points from their last two matches.

Indeed, a 1-0 success over Freiburg on May 23 was followed by a goalless draw at home to Borussia Monchengladbach on Tuesday night, which could be two big results in their fight for survival.

Bremen's game in hand against Frankfurt is next Wednesday, and a positive result against Schalke in this match would lead them nicely into what is a six-pointer at the bottom of the table.

Die Werderaner have not operated outside of the Bundesliga since the 1980-81 campaign, but the team are certainly in a battle to secure their top-flight status this season.

Schalke Bundesliga form: LLDLLL
Schalke form (all competitions): LLDLLL

Werder Bremen Bundesliga form: LLDLWD
Werder Bremen form (all competitions): LLDLWD


Team News

Jean-Clair Todibo pictured for Schalke in January 2020© Reuters

Schalke will again be without the services of Omar Mascarell and Benjamin Stambouli through injury, but Amine Harit and on-loan Barcelona centre-back Jean-Clair Todibo could both return to the starting XI.

Ozan Kabak made his return from a back injury against Dusseldorf during the week, but Todibo could be handed a spot in the first XI after featuring late on in the same match.

Suat Serdar is also a doubt, meaning that Rabbi Matondo could keep his spot.

As for Bremen, Claudio Pizarro, Omer Toprak, Niclas Fullkrug and Kevin Mohwald are still on the sidelines through injury, but Ludwig Augustinsson is in contention to feature.

Liverpool-linked Milot Rashica is once again expected to operate on the left of a front three, while former Everton midfielder Davy Klaassen should keep his spot in the middle of the park.

There could be changes from the draw on Tuesday, though, with Leonardo Bittencourt and Fin Bartels both in contention to start, while Philipp Bargfrede is available again following a suspension.

Schalke possible starting lineup:
Schubert; Nastasic, Todibo, Sane; Kenny, McKennie, Schopf, Oczipika; Matondo, Burgstaller, Caliguiri

Werder Bremen possible starting lineup:
Pavlenka; Gebre Selassie, Veljkovic, Moisander, Freidl; Klaassen, Eggestein, Bartels; Rashica, Sargent, Bittencourt


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Schalke 1-1 Werder Bremen

Schalke have really struggled since the return of Bundesliga action, and it is therefore difficult to back the hosts with any real confidence despite Bremen's issues this season. The visitors have actually won on their last two trips to Schalke in the league, but we fancy a low-scoring draw on Saturday afternoon.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.


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2SC PaderbornSC Paderborn115511813520
3Fortuna DusseldorfDusseldorf116231712520
4Hamburger SV1154225141119
5Karlsruher SCKarlsruher115422219319
6Nuremberg115242420417
7Magdeburg114522017317
8Hertha Berlin115241917217
9Elversberg114431913616
10KaiserslauternKaiserslautern114432018216
11FC Koln114342320315
12SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt113442322113
13Greuther Furth113441822-413
14Preussen Munster112451418-410
15SSV UlmUlm112361013-39
16Schalke 04Schalke112361924-59
17Eintracht BraunschweigBraunschweig112361123-129
18Jahn RegensburgJahn11218530-257


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