MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 04:54:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Livingston logo
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ayr United
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 14
Jan 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Somerset Park
Arbroath

Ayr
2 - 0
Arbroath

Dempsey (74'), Chalmers (77')
Syla (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Robinson (42'), Hamilton (55'), Jacobs (63'), Stewart (63')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Arbroath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last Game: Ayr 3-0 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

Arbroath

All competitions
Last Game: Arbroath 0-0 Ayr
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 59.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 18.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawArbroath
59.21% (5.108 5.11) 22.19% (-1.578 -1.58) 18.6% (-3.523 -3.52)
Both teams to score 51.92% (-0.453 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.73% (2.113 2.11)46.27% (-2.105 -2.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.44% (1.962 1.96)68.56% (-1.954 -1.95)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.74% (2.531 2.53)15.26% (-2.524 -2.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.05% (4.552 4.55)43.95% (-4.545 -4.55)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.27% (-2.435 -2.44)38.73% (2.441 2.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.53% (-2.39 -2.39)75.47% (2.396 2.4)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 59.21%
    Arbroath 18.6%
    Draw 22.18%
Ayr UnitedDrawArbroath
1-0 @ 11.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.44% (0.818 0.82)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.153 0.15)
3-0 @ 6.54% (1.005 1.01)
3-1 @ 6.21% (0.593 0.59)
4-0 @ 3.08% (0.685 0.69)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.098 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.494 0.49)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.155 0.16)
5-0 @ 1.16% (0.33 0.33)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.26 0.26)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 59.21%
1-1 @ 10.53% (-0.76 -0.76)
0-0 @ 5.91% (-0.543 -0.54)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.245 -0.25)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.18%
0-1 @ 5.61% (-0.936 -0.94)
1-2 @ 5% (-0.727 -0.73)
0-2 @ 2.66% (-0.657 -0.66)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.354 -0.35)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.184 -0.18)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 18.6%

Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 21
Arbroath
0-0
Ayr
McIntosh (90+6')
Reading (41'), Young (88')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Arbroath
2-1
Ayr
Bird (21'), Hylton (82')
O'Brien (45+2'), Hylton (71'), Little (75')
Rose (45+3')
McAllister (26')
Mar 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Arbroath
2-0
Ayr
Hilson (27'), Gold (60')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Ayr
2-2
Arbroath
Dempsey (38' pen.), McGinty (76')
Adarkwa (57'), Ben El-Mhanni (63')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 13
Arbroath
0-2
Ayr
Dempsey (70' pen.), Mitchell-Lawson (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FalkirkFalkirk129212581729
2Livingston12651159623
3Ayr UnitedAyr126331811721
4Partick ThistlePartick12543117419
5Queen's ParkQueen's Park125431211119
6Hamilton AcademicalHamilton124351717015
7Raith Rovers124261014-414
8Greenock MortonMorton12246716-910
9Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline12237913-49
10AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians12129624-185
> Scottish Championship Full Table


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