Scottish Championship | Gameweek 26

Apr 24, 2021 at 3pm UK

Tynecastle

Hearts
3 - 0
Inverness

Mackay-Steven (6', 31'), McEneff (9')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Carson (19'), Welsh (57')

The Match

Match Report

Academy graduate Finlay Pollock, 16, also came on for the final 11 minutes for Gary Mackay-Steven in the routine victory.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 65.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 15.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
65.39%	19.5%	15.12%

Both teams to score 53.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.53%

40.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.15%

62.86%

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.4%

11.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.42%

36.59%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.52%

39.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.83%

76.18%

Score Analysis

Hearts 65.38%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 15.12%

Draw 19.5%

Hearts	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
2-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 9.88% 1-0 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 7.63% 3-1 @ 7.09% 4-0 @ 4.11% 4-1 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 3.3% 4-2 @ 1.78% 5-0 @ 1.77% 5-1 @ 1.65% Other @ 3.88% Total : 65.38%	1-1 @ 9.17% 2-2 @ 4.59% 0-0 @ 4.58% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.5%	1-2 @ 4.26% 0-1 @ 4.26% 0-2 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.42% 1-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.88% Total : 15.12%