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Celtic logo
Scottish Cup | Final
Jun 3, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Hampden Park
Inverness CT

Celtic
3 - 1
Inverness

Furuhashi (38'), Abada (65'), Jota (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
MacKay (84')
Carson (44'), Duffy (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Celtic and Inverness Caledonian Thistle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 5-0 Aberdeen
Saturday, May 27 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Celtic 4-1 Inverness Caledonian Thistle

Celtic are understandably the firm favourites to come out on top and clinch another domestic treble, but a well-rested and fired-up Inverness outfit cannot be entirely written off this weekend. The potential absence of Furuhashi would be a major blow for the Hoops, but they have several other attacking threats that should be capable of firing Postecoglou's side to a comfortable victory at Hampden Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 85.82%. A draw had a probability of 9.6% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 4.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 4-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.5%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 1-2 (1.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
CelticDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
85.82% (0.133 0.13) 9.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01) 4.56% (-0.143 -0.14)
Both teams to score 45.92% (-1.434 -1.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.58% (-0.98099999999999 -0.98)26.41% (0.981 0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.25% (-1.262 -1.26)46.74% (1.261 1.26)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.83% (-0.143 -0.14)4.17% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.58% (-0.45700000000001 -0.46)17.42% (0.457 0.46)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.92% (-1.423 -1.42)52.08% (1.423 1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.94% (-0.95 -0.95)86.06% (0.95 0.95)
Score Analysis
    Celtic 85.82%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 4.56%
    Draw 9.62%
CelticDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
3-0 @ 11.61% (0.35 0.35)
2-0 @ 10.96% (0.44 0.44)
4-0 @ 9.22% (0.173 0.17)
3-1 @ 7.57% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-1 @ 7.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.9% (0.347 0.35)
4-1 @ 6.02% (-0.138 -0.14)
5-0 @ 5.86% (0.046 0.05)
5-1 @ 3.82% (-0.131 -0.13)
6-0 @ 3.1% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.136 -0.14)
6-1 @ 2.03% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.96% (-0.13 -0.13)
7-0 @ 1.41% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.25% (-0.097 -0.1)
7-1 @ 0.92% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 85.82%
1-1 @ 4.5% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 2.33% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-0 @ 2.17% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 9.62%
1-2 @ 1.47% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-1 @ 1.42% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 4.56%

How you voted: Celtic vs Inverness

Celtic
87.0%
Draw
4.3%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
8.7%
46
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2017 7.45pm
Inverness
0-4
Celtic

Laing (65')
Sinclair (43'), Dembele (46', 73'), Armstrong (66')
Feb 11, 2017 12.15pm
Fifth Round
Celtic
6-0
Inverness
Lustig (20'), Dembele (45'), Dembele (50', 59'), Tierney (86'), Brown (91')
Lustig (73')

Tremarco (29'), Draper (35'), Vigurs (37'), Warren (42')
Nov 5, 2016 3pm
Sep 18, 2016 3pm
Inverness
2-2
Celtic
King (28'), Fisher (89')
Vigurs (41'), Tremarco (66')
Rogic (17'), Sinclair (34')
Brown (26'), Sviatchenko (90')
Feb 20, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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