Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
The C&G Systems Stadium
Dumbarton1 - 5Airdrieonians
Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Dumbarton and Airdrieonians.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Inverness 2-0 Dumbarton
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Goals
for
for
26
Last Game: Livingston 2-1 Airdrieonians
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Goals
for
for
11
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 37.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.33%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 37.05% | 24.08% | 38.87% |
| Both teams to score 61.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
