Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Airdrieonians in this match.