Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 57.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 21.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-2 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.