MX23RW : Thursday, April 24 08:33:35| >> :600:282609:282609:
Hearts logo
Scottish Cup | Quarter-Finals
Mar 7, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Dundee logo

Hearts
3 - 1
Dundee

Kartum (27', 68'), Murray (64' og.)
Nieuwenhof (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Shaughnessy (51')
Sylla (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Scottish Cup clash between Hearts and Dundee, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hibernian 2-1 Hearts
Sunday, March 2 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 1-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 2-0 Dundee

Hearts are enjoying an extremely strong run of form in recent weeks, while the visitors are enduring a challenging campaign, leading us to expect a comfortable victory for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 60.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Dundee had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 1-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Dundee win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawDundee
60.12% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 20.87% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 19% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.11% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.25% (0.019000000000005 0.02)39.75% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.89% (0.018000000000001 0.02)62.1% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.15% (0.0020000000000095 0)12.85% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)39.21% (-0.0089999999999932 -0.01)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.53% (0.019000000000005 0.02)34.47% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.82% (0.02 0.02)71.18% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 60.12%
    Dundee 19%
    Draw 20.87%
HeartsDrawDundee
2-1 @ 9.93%
2-0 @ 9.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.09% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.79% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 3.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 60.12%
1-1 @ 9.68% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.43% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.87%
1-2 @ 5.16% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 4.72% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.83% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 19%

How you voted: Hearts vs Dundee

Hearts
Draw
Dundee
Hearts
88.9%
Draw
2.2%
Dundee
8.9%
45
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 25
Dundee
0-6
Hearts

Samuels (38')
Shankland (15'), Spittal (17'), Kabangu (51', 77'), Drammeh (67'), Vargas (90+2')
Dec 7, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
Hearts
2-0
Dundee
Shankland (21', 31')
Shankland (62'), Penrice (89')

Mulligan (84'), Murray (86'), Ingram (90+1')
Aug 10, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Dundee
3-1
Hearts
Tiffoney (23'), Taylor (45+2' og.), McCowan (45+5' pen.)
Docherty (27'), Tiffoney (28'), Portales (43'), Larkeche (55')
Kent (61')
Rowles (26'), Taylor (42'), Penrice (90+3'), Shankland (90+3')
May 11, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 36
Hearts
3-0
Dundee
Vargas (35'), Forrest (53'), Shankland (90')

Bakayoko (45+3'), McCowan (57'), Donnelly (76')
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 24
Dundee
2-3
Hearts
McGhee (26'), Cameron (59')
Bakayoko (33'), Boateng (43'), McCowan (80')
Forrest (55'), Shankland (79' pen., 87')
Naismith (34'), Cochrane (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool33247275314479
2Arsenal341813363293467
3Manchester CityMan City34187966432361
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest33186953391460
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331851062441859
6Chelsea33169858401857
7Aston Villa3416995449557
8Bournemouth3313101052401249
9Fulham33139114845348
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton33121295353048
11Brentford33137135650646
12Crystal Palace341112114347-445
13Everton33814113440-638
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd33108153846-838
15Wolverhampton WanderersWolves33115174861-1338
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs331141861511037
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3399153755-1836
18Ipswich TownIpswich3349203371-3821
19Leicester CityLeicester3346232773-4618
20Southampton3325262478-5411


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!