MX23RW : Monday, March 10 05:39:36| >> :600:159816:159816:
Hearts logo
Scottish Cup | Quarter-Finals
Mar 7, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Dundee logo

Hearts
3 - 1
Dundee

Kartum (27', 68'), Murray (64' og.)
Nieuwenhof (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Shaughnessy (51')
Sylla (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Scottish Cup clash between Hearts and Dundee, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hibernian 2-1 Hearts
Sunday, March 2 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 1-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 2-0 Dundee

Hearts are enjoying an extremely strong run of form in recent weeks, while the visitors are enduring a challenging campaign, leading us to expect a comfortable victory for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 60.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Dundee had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 1-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Dundee win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawDundee
60.12% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 20.87% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 19% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.11% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.25% (0.019000000000005 0.02)39.75% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.89% (0.018000000000001 0.02)62.1% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.15% (0.0020000000000095 0)12.85% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)39.21% (-0.0089999999999932 -0.01)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.53% (0.019000000000005 0.02)34.47% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.82% (0.02 0.02)71.18% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 60.12%
    Dundee 19%
    Draw 20.87%
HeartsDrawDundee
2-1 @ 9.93%
2-0 @ 9.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.09% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.79% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 3.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 60.12%
1-1 @ 9.68% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.43% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.87%
1-2 @ 5.16% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 4.72% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.83% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 19%

How you voted: Hearts vs Dundee

Hearts
88.9%
Draw
2.2%
Dundee
8.9%
45
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 25
Dundee
0-6
Hearts

Samuels (38')
Shankland (15'), Spittal (17'), Kabangu (51', 77'), Drammeh (67'), Vargas (90+2')
Dec 7, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
Hearts
2-0
Dundee
Shankland (21', 31')
Shankland (62'), Penrice (89')

Mulligan (84'), Murray (86'), Ingram (90+1')
Aug 10, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Dundee
3-1
Hearts
Tiffoney (23'), Taylor (45+2' og.), McCowan (45+5' pen.)
Docherty (27'), Tiffoney (28'), Portales (43'), Larkeche (55')
Kent (61')
Rowles (26'), Taylor (42'), Penrice (90+3'), Shankland (90+3')
May 11, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 36
Hearts
3-0
Dundee
Vargas (35'), Forrest (53'), Shankland (90')

Bakayoko (45+3'), McCowan (57'), Donnelly (76')
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 24
Dundee
2-3
Hearts
McGhee (26'), Cameron (59')
Bakayoko (33'), Boateng (43'), McCowan (80')
Forrest (55'), Shankland (79' pen., 87')
Naismith (34'), Cochrane (84')
rhs 2.0
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