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Celtic logo
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Dundee United
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Ross County
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St Mirren logo
St Johnstone logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 27
Feb 23, 2025 at 12pm UK
McDiarmid Park
Hearts logo

St Johnstone
1 - 2
Hearts

Sidibeh (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kabangu (36', 57')
Penrice (61'), Kabangu (90+5'), Taylor (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Johnstone and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kilmarnock 3-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 1-3 Rangers
Sunday, February 16 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Johnstone 1-3 Hearts

While St Johnstone have been improved in recent weeks, Hearts are certainly the stronger side on paper, and given their impressive record in this fixture, we expect the visitors to win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
St JohnstoneDrawHearts
27.15% (-0.183 -0.18) 26.23% (0.105 0.11) 46.62% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 49.97% (-0.434 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.97% (-0.504 -0.5)54.03% (0.503 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.53% (-0.423 -0.42)75.46% (0.422 0.42)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.03% (-0.417 -0.42)34.97% (0.41500000000001 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.29% (-0.438 -0.44)71.71% (0.437 0.44)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.85% (-0.178 -0.18)23.15% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.97% (-0.26 -0.26)57.02% (0.26 0.26)
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone 27.15%
    Hearts 46.61%
    Draw 26.22%
St JohnstoneDrawHearts
1-0 @ 8.51% (0.071 0.07)
2-1 @ 6.54% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-0 @ 4.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.29% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.57% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 27.15%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.1% (0.158 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 11.84% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 9.11% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.67% (0.078999999999999 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.44% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.23% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.62% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.55% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 46.61%

How you voted: St Johnstone vs Hearts

St Johnstone
12.5%
Draw
12.5%
Hearts
75.0%
16
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 18
Hearts
2-1
St Johnstone
Penrice (16'), Spittal (58')
Devlin (42'), Vargas (90+4')
Carey (53' pen.)
Sprangler (83')
Nov 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 11
St Johnstone
1-2
Hearts
Clark (68' pen.)
Sprangler (44'), Holt (61')
Clark (23' og.), Vargas (77')
Oyegoke (41'), Rowles (45+1'), Shankland (52'), Devlin (67')
Feb 7, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
St Johnstone
0-1
Hearts

Robinson (16'), Considine (52'), McGowan (75'), Jaiyesimi (90+6')
Shankland (54')
Vargas (79')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Hearts
1-0
St Johnstone
Shankland (61')
Cochrane (77'), Vargas (88')

Phillips (40'), Gallacher (58')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
St Johnstone
0-2
Hearts

McClelland (17'), Phillips (29')
Oda (75'), Shankland (90+6')
Rowles (16'), Devlin (80'), Boyce (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic29243287177075
2RangersRangers29185659263359
3Hibernian29111084440443
4Aberdeen29126113846-842
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd29118103636041
6Motherwell29114143448-1437
7Hearts29106134140136
8Ross County2998123149-1835
9St Mirren29104153547-1234
10Kilmarnock2987143347-1431
11Dundee2977154161-2028
12St Johnstone2974183254-2225


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