Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Hearts |
27.15% (![]() | 26.23% (![]() | 46.62% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.97% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.97% (![]() | 54.03% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.53% (![]() | 75.46% (![]() |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.03% (![]() | 34.97% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.29% (![]() | 71.71% (![]() |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.85% (![]() | 23.15% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.97% (![]() | 57.02% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Hearts |
1-0 @ 8.51% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.54% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.47% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.57% ( ![]() Other @ 2.11% Total : 27.15% | 1-1 @ 12.44% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.1% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.78% ( ![]() Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 11.84% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.11% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.67% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.44% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.23% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.55% ( ![]() Other @ 2.83% Total : 46.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 29 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 87 | 17 | 70 | 75 |
2 | RangersRangers | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 59 | 26 | 33 | 59 |
3 | Hibernian | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 44 | 40 | 4 | 43 |
4 | Aberdeen | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 42 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 41 |
6 | Motherwell | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 37 |
7 | Hearts | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 36 |
8 | Ross County | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 35 |
9 | St Mirren | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 34 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 31 |
11 | Dundee | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 28 |
12 | St Johnstone | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 25 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |