MX23RW : Monday, March 10 17:17:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Dundee United
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Hibs logo
Kilmarnock logo
Motherwell logo
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Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
Hearts logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 28
Feb 26, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Tynecastle Park
St Mirren logo

Hearts
3 - 1
St Mirren

Wilson (56'), Nieuwenhof (63'), Vargas (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mandron (37')
Boyd-Munce (52'), Mandron (67'), Phillips (74'), O'Hara (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Johnstone 1-2 Hearts
Sunday, February 23 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 0-2 St Mirren
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 2-1 St Mirren

Both Hearts and St Mirren will be boosted by recent victories, but given the hosts have dominated this fixture in recent history, we expect the Jambos to win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 51.53%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawSt Mirren
51.53% (0.621 0.62) 23.98% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04) 24.49% (-0.584 -0.58)
Both teams to score 54.53% (-0.48500000000001 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.11% (-0.35400000000001 -0.35)46.88% (0.351 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.86% (-0.329 -0.33)69.13% (0.327 0.33)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.8% (0.104 0.1)18.19% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.8% (0.178 0.18)49.2% (-0.178 -0.18)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.66% (-0.679 -0.68)33.33% (0.678 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.04% (-0.754 -0.75)69.96% (0.753 0.75)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 51.53%
    St Mirren 24.49%
    Draw 23.97%
HeartsDrawSt Mirren
1-0 @ 10.33% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.81% (0.188 0.19)
3-1 @ 5.5% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 5% (0.123 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.34% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.13% (0.06 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 51.53%
1-1 @ 11.35%
0-0 @ 6.07% (0.089 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.97%
0-1 @ 6.66% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-2 @ 3.66% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 24.49%

How you voted: Hearts vs St Mirren

Hearts
86.2%
Draw
6.9%
St Mirren
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2025 7.45pm
Fifth Round
St Mirren
1-1
Hearts
(Aggregate 1-1 | Hearts win 4-2 on penalties)
Mandron (22')
Gogic (90+10'), Smyth (120+1'), Fraser (127')
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 8
Hearts
4-0
St Mirren
Vargas (15'), Oyegoke (47'), Wilson (86'), Spittal (90+3')

Dunne (23'), Olusanya (53'), Kiltie (84'), Bwomono (90+5'), Adeniran (90+5')
Sep 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 15
St Mirren
2-1
Hearts
Taylor (8' og.), Olusanya (34')
Olusanya (13'), Brown (40'), Boyd-Munce (65')
Halkett (18')
Kingsley (33'), Grant (44'), Shankland (85'), Baningime (85')
May 15, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
St Mirren
2-2
Hearts
Scott (7'), Bolton (65')
Tagawa (20'), Shankland (73')
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
St Mirren
1-2
Hearts
Olusanya (68')
Tanser (82')
Grant (33' pen.), Mandron (62' og.)
Tait (45+3'), Sibbick (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic29243287177075
2RangersRangers29185659263359
3Hibernian29111084440443
4Aberdeen29126113846-842
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd29118103636041
6Motherwell29114143448-1437
7Hearts29106134140136
8Ross County2998123149-1835
9St Mirren29104153547-1234
10Kilmarnock2987143347-1431
11Dundee2977154161-2028
12St Johnstone2974183254-2225


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