Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
37.64% (![]() | 25.86% (![]() | 36.5% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.72% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.44% (![]() | 49.55% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.42% (![]() | 71.58% (![]() |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.29% (![]() | 25.7% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.38% (![]() | 60.62% (![]() |
Stenhousemuir Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.65% (![]() | 26.35% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.5% (![]() | 61.49% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
1-0 @ 9.2% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.34% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.25% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.78% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.49% Total : 37.64% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 6.77% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.56% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 9.03% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.18% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.02% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 3.26% Total : 36.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 52 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 47 |
3 | Cove Rangers | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 44 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 40 |
5 | Kelty Hearts | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 35 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 35 |
7 | Montrose | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 29 |
9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 27 |
10 | Dumbarton | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |