Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
43.55% ( -0.03) | 26.5% ( -0.05) | 29.95% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 50.88% ( 0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.32% ( 0.26) | 53.68% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.83% ( 0.22) | 75.17% ( -0.21) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.52% ( 0.1) | 24.47% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.07% ( 0.14) | 58.92% ( -0.13) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.37% ( 0.2) | 32.63% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.82% ( 0.22) | 69.18% ( -0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
1-0 @ 11.24% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 43.55% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 34 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 32 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 31 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 29 |
6 | Cove Rangers | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 28 |
7 | Montrose | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 24 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 20 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Dumbarton | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 7 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |