Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Queen of the South |
44.29% ( -0.06) | 26.82% ( -0.05) | 28.89% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 49.35% ( 0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.62% ( 0.25) | 55.38% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.42% ( 0.2) | 76.58% ( -0.2) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.14% ( 0.08) | 24.86% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.53% ( 0.11) | 59.47% ( -0.11) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.68% ( 0.22) | 34.32% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.98% ( 0.24) | 71.02% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Queen of the South |
1-0 @ 11.87% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 44.28% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.82% | 0-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.25% Total : 28.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 34 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 29 |
4 | Cove Rangers | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 22 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 19 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 7 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |