Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.