Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Queen of the South |
39.15% ( 0.13) | 26.29% ( -0.03) | 34.56% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 53.08% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.44% ( 0.09) | 51.56% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.64% ( 0.08) | 73.35% ( -0.09) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.2% ( 0.11) | 25.8% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.24% ( 0.15) | 60.76% ( -0.15) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.53% ( -0.02) | 28.47% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.77% ( -0.02) | 64.23% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Queen of the South |
1-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 39.15% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 34.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 34 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 32 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 31 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 29 |
6 | Cove Rangers | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 28 |
7 | Montrose | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 24 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 20 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Dumbarton | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 7 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |