MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 09:15:33| >> :120:27411:27411:
Ayr United
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Somerset Park
Falkirk

Ayr
1 - 0
Falkirk

Dowds (5')
Dowds (56'), Syla (58'), Rus (59'), Bryden (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Adams (31'), Yeats (52'), Maciver (69')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Ayr United and Falkirk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ayr 1-1 Celtic
Friday, July 5 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Falkirk 2-0 Dundee Utd
Saturday, July 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.38%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawFalkirk
35.16% (-1.072 -1.07) 22.95% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05) 41.89% (1.122 1.12)
Both teams to score 65.16% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.06% (0.044000000000011 0.04)35.95% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.96% (0.048000000000002 0.05)58.04% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2% (-0.51300000000001 -0.51)20.81% (0.514 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.53% (-0.812 -0.81)53.47% (0.814 0.81)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.27% (0.489 0.49)17.73% (-0.488 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.6% (0.837 0.84)48.4% (-0.836 -0.84)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 35.16%
    Falkirk 41.89%
    Draw 22.94%
Ayr UnitedDrawFalkirk
2-1 @ 7.86% (-0.142 -0.14)
1-0 @ 5.79% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-0 @ 4.55% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-1 @ 4.12% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.38% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 35.16%
1-1 @ 10.01% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.8% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.05% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.94%
1-2 @ 8.67% (0.118 0.12)
0-1 @ 6.38% (0.087 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.52% (0.16 0.16)
1-3 @ 5% (0.145 0.15)
2-3 @ 3.92% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.18% (0.141 0.14)
1-4 @ 2.16% (0.096 0.1)
2-4 @ 1.7% (0.049 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.38% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 41.89%

Head to Head
Sep 5, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round
Ayr
0-1
Falkirk

Syla (50'), McGinty (90+3')
Syla (70')
Henderson (30')
Mar 13, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Falkirk
2-1
Ayr
Morrison (66' pen.), Kennedy (83')
Akinyemi (12')
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Group Stage
Ayr
3-0
Falkirk
Jul 20, 2019 3pm
Group Stage
Ayr
2-1
Falkirk
McCowan (26'), Geggan (75')
Moffat (36'), Doohan (47'), Muirhead (78')
McManus (42')
McShane (22'), Buchanan (78')
Durnan (47')
Mar 8, 2019 7.05pm
Gameweek 28
Falkirk
2-0
Ayr
McGhee (27', 40')
rhs 2.0
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