Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 70.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 12.06%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 1-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for an Arbroath win it was 1-2 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Arbroath |
70.68% (![]() | 17.26% (![]() | 12.06% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.7% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.83% (![]() | 37.17% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.63% (![]() | 59.37% (![]() |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.64% (![]() | 9.36% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.46% (![]() | 31.53% (![]() |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.14% (![]() | 41.85% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.69% (![]() | 78.3% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Arbroath |
2-0 @ 10.99% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.57% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.28% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.68% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.56% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.14% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.48% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.43% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 0.96% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 3.31% Total : 70.68% | 1-1 @ 8.08% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.17% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.92% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.26% | 1-2 @ 3.52% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.41% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 1.41% Total : 12.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 25 | 30 | 60 |
2 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 54 |
3 | Livingston | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 54 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 38 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 34 |
7 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 33 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 28 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 28 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 27 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 23 | 53 | -30 | 20 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |