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Dundee United
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 20, 2024 at 5.15pm UK
Tannadice Park
Ayr United

Dundee Utd
2 - 1
Ayr

Babunski (17'), Forbes (68')
Fotheringham (88'), Thomson (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rus (55')
McMann (67'), Tomlinson (82'), Rus (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish League Cup clash between Dundee United and Ayr United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee United

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Dundee Utd 3-0 Stenhousemuir
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Ayr 1-0 Falkirk
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

We said: Dundee United 2-1 Ayr United

 With their quest of progressing from the group potentially resting on Saturday's results, we expect Dundee and Ayr United to take the game to each other in search of all three points. The Tangerines' home advantage gives them a slight edge here and we are tipping them to come away with the desired result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 61.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 16.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dundee United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Dundee United.

Result
Dundee UnitedDrawAyr United
61.7% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 21.65% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 16.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.88% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)47.12% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.65% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)69.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.26% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)14.74% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.04% (0.015000000000001 0.02)42.96% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.45% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)41.55% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.95% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)78.05% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Dundee United 61.69%
    Ayr United 16.65%
    Draw 21.64%
Dundee UnitedDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 11.72%
2-0 @ 11.22%
2-1 @ 9.86%
3-0 @ 7.17% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 6.29% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 3.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.01% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.76%
4-2 @ 1.32%
5-0 @ 1.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 61.69%
1-1 @ 10.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.13% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 21.64%
0-1 @ 5.38% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 4.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 16.65%

How you voted: Dundee Utd vs Ayr

Dundee United
89.5%
Draw
5.3%
Ayr United
5.3%
19
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Dundee Utd
1-0
Ayr
Mochrie (79')
Mochrie (80')

Dempsey (40'), McHugh (61'), Sanders (70')
McAllister (59')
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Ayr
1-2
Dundee Utd
Murphy (2')
Dowds (31'), Stanger (55'), Dempsey (56')
Stanger (90+1')
Watt (67'), Docherty (82')
Grimshaw (1'), Holt (29'), Middleton (55')
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Dundee Utd
1-0
Ayr
Fotheringham (63')

McAllister (10'), Ahui (30'), Murphy (41')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Ayr
0-3
Dundee Utd

Musonda (12')
Holt (58', 90'), Moult (62')
Holt (65'), Glass (76')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Second Round
Ayr
1-1
Dundee Utd
(Aggregate 1-1 | Dundee Utd win 4-3 on penalties)
Adeloye (56')
Baird (62'), Murdoch (79'), Reading (104')
Baird (80')
Clark (80' pen.)
Fuchs (113')
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