Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ross County would win this match.