MX23RW : Monday, March 10 15:56:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
Alloa Athletic
Annan Athletic
Arbroath
Cove Rangers
Dumbarton
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Alloa Athletic
Scottish League One | Gameweek 28
Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Indodrill Stadium
Arbroath

Alloa
2 - 3
Arbroath

Rankin (73'), Scougall (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dow (20'), Muirhead (47'), Gallagher (88')
Muirhead (31'), Stanton (40'), Dow (61')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Alloa Athletic and Arbroath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alloa 2-1 Cove Rangers
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Dumbarton 1-2 Arbroath
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.

Result
Alloa AthleticDrawArbroath
33.69% (-0.765 -0.77) 24.94% (0.069000000000003 0.07) 41.37% (0.692 0.69)
Both teams to score 57.45% (-0.438 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.17% (-0.489 -0.49)45.83% (0.484 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.85% (-0.468 -0.47)68.15% (0.46299999999999 0.46)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.77% (-0.68599999999999 -0.69)26.23% (0.68 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.66% (-0.92400000000001 -0.92)61.33% (0.91800000000001 0.92)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.88% (0.122 0.12)22.11% (-0.127 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.52% (0.186 0.19)55.48% (-0.191 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Alloa Athletic 33.69%
    Arbroath 41.37%
    Draw 24.93%
Alloa AthleticDrawArbroath
2-1 @ 7.84% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-0 @ 7.76% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.19% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.32% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 33.69%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.8% (0.118 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.93%
1-2 @ 8.84% (0.077 0.08)
0-1 @ 8.75% (0.212 0.21)
0-2 @ 6.6% (0.183 0.18)
1-3 @ 4.45% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.32% (0.105 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.68% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.25% (0.044 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.0039999999999998 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 41.37%

Head to Head
Jan 4, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 20
Arbroath
1-3
Alloa
Reilly (13')
O'Brien (73'), Flynn (85')
Scougall (21'), Rankin (40'), McKay (56')
Hetherington (23'), O'Donnel (58'), Rankin (79')
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 11
Alloa
0-1
Arbroath

Waters (42'), McDonnell (78')
Waters (46'), McDonnell (90')
Gallagher (43')
Dow (83')
Oct 11, 2024 7.45pm
Fourth Round
Alloa
1-0
Arbroath
Donnelly (16')
Waters (67')

Slater (27'), Coulson (59')
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 5
Arbroath
0-0
Alloa
Flynn (38'), Dow (42'), Watson (73')
Taggart (23'), Virtanen (66')
Apr 3, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 23
Arbroath
2-1
Alloa
Hamilton (59'), Gold (83')
Hamilton (69'), Gold (89')
Trouten (64')
Hetherington (21')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arbroath28164848311752
2StenhousemuirStenhousemuir27145841261547
3Cove Rangers27135946321444
4Alloa AthleticAlloa28101084135640
5Kelty Hearts2798103127435
6Queen of the SouthQotS28105132935-635
7Montrose28711102835-732
8Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness2712873028229
9Annan AthleticAnnan2876152953-2427
10Dumbarton2858153455-218


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