Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Arbroath |
46.33% (![]() | 24.58% (![]() | 29.08% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.51% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.89% (![]() | 46.11% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.59% (![]() | 68.41% (![]() |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.01% (![]() | 19.99% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.83% (![]() | 52.17% (![]() |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.63% (![]() | 29.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.64% (![]() | 65.35% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Arbroath |
1-0 @ 9.45% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.32% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.61% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.08% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.07% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.23% ( ![]() Other @ 2.91% Total : 46.33% | 1-1 @ 11.58% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.87% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.71% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.58% | 0-1 @ 7.19% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.09% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.41% 1-3 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.8% ( ![]() Other @ 3.36% Total : 29.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 52 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 47 |
3 | Cove Rangers | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 44 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 40 |
5 | Kelty Hearts | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 35 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 35 |
7 | Montrose | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 29 |
9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 27 |
10 | Dumbarton | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |