Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.