Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%).
Result | ||
Dumbarton | Draw | Arbroath |
39.22% ( -0.43) | 24.09% ( 0.18) | 36.69% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 61.09% ( -0.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.66% ( -0.87) | 41.34% ( 0.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.26% ( -0.88) | 63.74% ( 0.89) |
Dumbarton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.79% ( -0.58) | 21.21% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.9% ( -0.91) | 54.1% ( 0.92) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.53% ( -0.26) | 22.47% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.99% ( -0.39) | 56.01% ( 0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Dumbarton | Draw | Arbroath |
2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.71% Total : 39.22% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.09% | 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 34 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 32 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 31 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 29 |
6 | Cove Rangers | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 28 |
7 | Montrose | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 24 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 20 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Dumbarton | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 7 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |