Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.06%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dumbarton | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
36.19% (![]() | 23.71% (![]() | 40.09% (![]() |
Both teams to score 62.44% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.43% (![]() | 39.57% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.09% (![]() | 61.91% (![]() |
Dumbarton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.08% (![]() | 21.92% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.81% (![]() | 55.19% (![]() |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.97% (![]() | 20.03% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.76% (![]() | 52.24% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Dumbarton | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-1 @ 8.13% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.66% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.06% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.11% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.31% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.56% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.26% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.58% Total : 36.19% | 1-1 @ 10.71% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.54% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.39% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.77% ( ![]() Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.71% | 1-2 @ 8.62% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.06% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.68% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.62% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.86% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 3.09% Total : 40.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 52 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 47 |
3 | Cove Rangers | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 44 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 40 |
5 | Kelty Hearts | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 35 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 35 |
7 | Montrose | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 29 |
9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 27 |
10 | Dumbarton | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |