Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.