Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Queen of the South win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Dumbarton has a probability of 34.53% and a draw has a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Dumbarton win is 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.99%).
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Dumbarton |
40.08% ( 0.21) | 25.39% ( 0.05) | 34.53% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 56.1% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.33% ( -0.28) | 47.67% ( 0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.13% ( -0.26) | 69.87% ( 0.25) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.44% ( -0.02) | 23.56% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.39% ( -0.03) | 57.61% ( 0.03) |
Dumbarton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.39% ( -0.28) | 26.61% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.16% ( -0.38) | 61.84% ( 0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Dumbarton |
1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 40.08% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.17% Total : 34.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 34 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 32 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 31 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 29 |
6 | Cove Rangers | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 28 |
7 | Montrose | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 24 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 20 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Dumbarton | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 7 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |