Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-0 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.