Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 36.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Airdrieonians |
36.94% ( 0.68) | 25.94% ( -0.16) | 37.11% ( -0.52) |
Both teams to score 54.43% ( 0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.08% ( 0.7) | 49.92% ( -0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.09% ( 0.62) | 71.91% ( -0.63) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.73% ( 0.72) | 26.27% ( -0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.61% ( 0.95) | 61.38% ( -0.96) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.82% ( 0.04) | 26.17% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.74% ( 0.05) | 61.25% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Airdrieonians |
1-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.37% Total : 36.94% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.38% Total : 37.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
7 | Montrose | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 17 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |