Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 60.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 17.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
60.69% ( -0.77) | 21.53% ( 0.12) | 17.77% ( 0.64) |
Both teams to score 52.48% ( 0.91) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.26% ( 0.56) | 44.74% ( -0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.9% ( 0.54) | 67.1% ( -0.54) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.72% ( -0.06) | 14.28% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.93% ( -0.11) | 42.07% ( 0.1) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.22% ( 1.1) | 38.77% ( -1.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.49% ( 1.03) | 75.51% ( -1.03) |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
1-0 @ 10.77% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 10.48% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 6.45% 4-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 60.68% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.53% | 0-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.19% Total : 17.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cove Rangers | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
2 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Arbroath | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 17 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 16 |
7 | Montrose | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 16 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 13 |
9 | Dumbarton | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | -2 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |