Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 55.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 21.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.