MX23RW : Monday, November 4 21:31:04| >> :600:89247:89247:
Alloa Athletic
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Indodrill Stadium
St Johnstone logo

Alloa
0 - 4
St Johnstone


Neill (61')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ballantyne (1'), McGowan (20'), May (63'), McCrystal (89')
Phillips (79')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Alloa Athletic and St Johnstone.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alloa 1-2 Stirling
Tuesday, July 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 1-0 St Johnstone
Saturday, July 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 55.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 21.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.

Result
Alloa AthleticDrawSt Johnstone
21.11% (1.09 1.09) 23.6% (0.763 0.76) 55.29% (-1.853 -1.85)
Both teams to score 51.53% (-0.762 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.19% (-1.828 -1.83)48.81% (1.827 1.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.09% (-1.681 -1.68)70.91% (1.68 1.68)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.47% (0.070999999999998 0.07)37.53% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.69% (0.07 0.07)74.3% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.49% (-1.313 -1.31)17.51% (1.312 1.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.98% (-2.333 -2.33)48.02% (2.331 2.33)
Score Analysis
    Alloa Athletic 21.11%
    St Johnstone 55.28%
    Draw 23.59%
Alloa AthleticDrawSt Johnstone
1-0 @ 6.44% (0.482 0.48)
2-1 @ 5.5% (0.194 0.19)
2-0 @ 3.16% (0.242 0.24)
3-1 @ 1.8% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.03% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 21.11%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.38 0.38)
0-0 @ 6.57% (0.48 0.48)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.59%
0-1 @ 11.44% (0.36 0.36)
0-2 @ 9.97% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
0-3 @ 5.79% (-0.328 -0.33)
1-3 @ 5.68% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-4 @ 2.52% (-0.261 -0.26)
1-4 @ 2.47% (-0.251 -0.25)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 55.28%

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