MX23RW : Friday, November 22 21:50:51| >> :600:502025:502025:
Stenhousemuir
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ochilview Park
Alloa Athletic

Stenhousemuir
1 - 3
Alloa

Brown (29')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Buchanan (37'), Sammon (72'), Neill (79')
Virtanen (64')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Stenhousemuir and Alloa Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stenhousemuir

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Stirling 2-1 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Alloa Athletic

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Alloa 0-4 St Johnstone
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
StenhousemuirDrawAlloa Athletic
37.52% (-0.248 -0.25) 25.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 36.87% (0.259 0.26)
Both teams to score 55.57% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.53% (0.036999999999999 0.04)48.47% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.4% (0.033000000000001 0.03)70.6% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.73% (-0.117 -0.12)25.27% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.97% (-0.163 -0.16)60.03% (0.167 0.17)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37% (0.16199999999999 0.16)25.63% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.47% (0.218 0.22)60.53% (-0.214 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Stenhousemuir 37.52%
    Alloa Athletic 36.87%
    Draw 25.62%
StenhousemuirDrawAlloa Athletic
1-0 @ 8.91% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.13% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.83% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.81% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 37.52%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 6.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 8.82% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.26% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 6% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.72% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.58% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 36.87%

Head to Head
Nov 14, 2020 3pm
Group Stage
Alloa
4-2
Stenhousemuir
Buchanan (64', 70' pen., 78'), Hetherington (90')
Graham (33'), Spence (37' pen.)
Blair (76')
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Third Round
Stenhousemuir
1-2
Alloa
Paterson (27')
Ferns (45')
Malcolm (67', 50')
Hetherington (30')
Mar 11, 2017 3pm
Alloa
2-1
Stenhousemuir
Mackin (40'), Spence (86' pen.)
Grant (61')
Dec 31, 2016 1pm
Stenhousemuir
2-4
Alloa
Cook (9'), Shaw (97')
Millar (65')
Cawley (24'), Spence (29'), Kirkpatrick (44', 74')
Nov 5, 2016 3pm
Alloa
4-1
Stenhousemuir
Spence (8'), Graham (29'), Longworth (35'), Cawley (60')
Goodwin (31'), Holmes (86')
Roy (36')
Marsh (92')
rhs 2.0
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