Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
43.65% ( -0.54) | 24.64% ( 0.06) | 31.71% ( 0.48) |
Both teams to score 57.77% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.9% ( -0.05) | 45.1% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.55% ( -0.05) | 67.45% ( 0.05) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.26% ( -0.26) | 20.75% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.62% ( -0.41) | 53.38% ( 0.41) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.9% ( 0.29) | 27.1% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.51% ( 0.37) | 62.49% ( -0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 43.65% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.03% Total : 31.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 34 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 32 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 31 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 29 |
6 | Cove Rangers | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 28 |
7 | Montrose | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 24 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 20 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Dumbarton | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 7 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |