Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.