Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
45.93% ( 0.03) | 25.41% ( -0.01) | 28.66% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 53.53% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.1% ( 0.02) | 49.89% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.11% ( 0.02) | 71.89% ( -0.02) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.28% ( 0.03) | 21.72% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.11% ( 0.04) | 54.89% ( -0.03) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.38% ( -0.01) | 31.62% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.97% ( -0.01) | 68.03% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
1-0 @ 10.48% 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 45.92% | 1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 28.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 34 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 32 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 31 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 29 |
6 | Cove Rangers | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 28 |
7 | Montrose | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 24 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 20 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Dumbarton | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 7 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |