Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 36.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic would win this match.