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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 31
Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Motherwell logo

Aberdeen
4 - 1
Motherwell

Dorrington (13'), Clarkson (37'), Nisbet (77', 90+2')
Gueye (29')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Slattery (5')
Slattery (68'), Maswanhise (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Johnstone 0-0 Aberdeen
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 2-2 St Mirren
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Aberdeen 2-1 Motherwell

Both teams will be desperate for victories in their fight for a top-six finish, but Aberdeen have avoided defeat against Motherwell at home in the last four meetings, and we expect that to continue with a home triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 68.71%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 12.82%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
AberdeenDrawMotherwell
68.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 18.47% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 12.82%
Both teams to score 50.72% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.04% (0.024000000000001 0.02)40.95% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.65% (0.025999999999996 0.03)63.34% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)10.86% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.02% (0.019000000000005 0.02)34.98% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.9% (0.015999999999998 0.02)43.1% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.62% (0.012 0.01)79.37% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 68.7%
    Motherwell 12.82%
    Draw 18.47%
AberdeenDrawMotherwell
2-0 @ 11.53%
1-0 @ 10.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.71%
3-0 @ 8.54% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 7.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 4.74%
4-1 @ 3.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 2.1% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 1.77% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.68% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 68.7%
1-1 @ 8.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.68% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 18.47%
0-1 @ 3.94% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-2 @ 3.68%
0-2 @ 1.66% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 12.82%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs Motherwell

Aberdeen
Draw
Motherwell
Aberdeen
90.0%
Draw
0.0%
Motherwell
10.0%
20
Head to Head
Jan 5, 2025 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Motherwell
2-0
Aberdeen
Wilson (34'), Maswanhise (45')
Zdravkovski (8'), Kettlewell (9'), Maswanhise (15')

Palaversa (70'), Shinnie (85')
Rubezic (43')
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 5
Aberdeen
2-1
Motherwell
Gueye (27', 81')
Heltne Nilsen (23'), Rubezic (64'), Gueye (71'), Besuijen (90+3')
Ebiye (88')
O'Donnell (23'), Zdravkovski (23'), Robinson (52'), Vale (67'), McGinn (85')
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Aberdeen
1-0
Motherwell

McGinn (56')
Vale (56')
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Motherwell
0-1
Aberdeen

Kettlewell (2'), O'Donnell (85')
Clarkson (25')
Hoilett (1'), Roos (90+2')
Feb 14, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Aberdeen
3-3
Motherwell
Lopes (31', 50'), Gartenmann (37')
MacDonald (83'), Shinnie (90')
Bair (5' pen., 22'), Devine (26')
Nicholson (61'), McGinn (87'), Butcher (90+4'), Kelly (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic000097227581
2RangersRangers000068353366
3Hibernian000054411353
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd00004140150
5Aberdeen00004549-450
6St Mirren00004554-941
Relegation Group
1Hearts00004344-140
2Motherwell00003756-1939
3Kilmarnock00003858-2035
4Ross County00003356-2335
5Dundee00005071-2134
6St Johnstone00003358-2529
 
First Phase
1Celtic33263497227581
2RangersRangers33206768353366
3Hibernian331411854411353
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd33148114140150
5Aberdeen33148114549-450
6St Mirren33125164554-941
7Hearts33117154344-140
8Motherwell33116163756-1939
9Kilmarnock3398163858-2035
10Ross County3398163356-2335
11Dundee3397175071-2134
12St Johnstone3385203358-2529


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