Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 62.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 16.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | St Mirren |
62.83% ( -0.08) | 20.9% ( 0.04) | 16.26% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 51.42% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.43% ( -0.11) | 44.57% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.06% ( -0.11) | 66.94% ( 0.11) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.43% ( -0.06) | 13.57% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.33% ( -0.12) | 40.67% ( 0.12) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.49% ( -0.02) | 40.51% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.88% ( -0.02) | 77.11% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | St Mirren |
1-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 62.82% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0) Other @ 1.01% Total : 20.9% | 0-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.35% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 1.87% Total : 16.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |