Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | Hibernian |
30.72% ( -0.16) | 25.12% ( -0) | 44.16% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 55.65% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.34% ( -0.05) | 47.66% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.14% ( -0.05) | 69.86% ( 0.05) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.97% ( -0.14) | 29.03% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.07% ( -0.17) | 64.93% ( 0.17) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.41% ( 0.05) | 21.59% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.32% ( 0.09) | 54.68% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | Hibernian |
1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.72% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.66% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 44.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
9 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
10 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |