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Aberdeen logo
Celtic logo
Dundee logo
Dundee United
Hearts logo
Hibs logo
Kilmarnock logo
Motherwell logo
Rangers logo
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
Dundee logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 35
May 4, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
St Mirren logo

Dundee
1 - 3
St Mirren

Mellon (76')
Donnelly (37'), Cameron (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gogic (38'), Tanser (59'), Olusanya (72')
Tanser (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee 1-2 Celtic
Sunday, April 28 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 1-2 Rangers
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Dundee 1-2 St Mirren

The hosts have only won once in the past six meetings between these two sides, albeit a 4-0 thrashing in November last year, and St Mirren showed complete dominance in the last matchup as they won 2-0, taking 19 shots to Dundee's four. We believe the visitors will show that superiority once again in this one, going on to win the match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Dundee win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
DundeeDrawSt Mirren
35.29% (-2.005 -2.01) 25.47% (0.213 0.21) 39.24% (1.799 1.8)
Both teams to score 55.96% (-0.892 -0.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.09% (-1.082 -1.08)47.91% (1.09 1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.91% (-1.002 -1)70.09% (1.01 1.01)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.73% (-1.631 -1.63)26.27% (1.638 1.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.61% (-2.237 -2.24)61.39% (2.243 2.24)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.9% (0.467 0.47)24.1% (-0.459 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.61% (0.656 0.66)58.39% (-0.65 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    Dundee 35.29%
    St Mirren 39.24%
    Draw 25.46%
DundeeDrawSt Mirren
1-0 @ 8.46% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.05% (-0.288 -0.29)
2-0 @ 5.66% (-0.281 -0.28)
3-1 @ 3.59% (-0.308 -0.31)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.182 -0.18)
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.253 -0.25)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.165 -0.17)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 35.29%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.33% (0.281 0.28)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 9.01% (0.515 0.52)
1-2 @ 8.57% (0.213 0.21)
0-2 @ 6.41% (0.446 0.45)
1-3 @ 4.07% (0.154 0.15)
0-3 @ 3.04% (0.249 0.25)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.45% (0.073 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.08% (0.102 0.1)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 39.24%

How you voted: Dundee vs St Mirren

Dundee
36.4%
Draw
9.1%
St Mirren
54.5%
11
Head to Head
Feb 7, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 25
St Mirren
2-0
Dundee
Mandron (73'), Olusanya (90+1')
Bolton (66')
Bolton (84')

Docherty (67'), Mulligan (90+1')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Dundee
4-0
St Mirren
Bakayoko (16', 57'), Rudden (45+2' pen.), Robinson (85')
McGhee (76')

Baccus (88')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
St Mirren
2-1
Dundee
Shaughnessy (7' og.), Mandron (45+4')
Mandron (34'), Hemming (76')
Mulligan (63')
Tiffoney (87'), Beck (87'), Ashcroft (90+1')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Fourth Round
St Mirren
0-0
Dundee
(Aggregate 0-0 | St Mirren win 2-0 on penalties)
May 7, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
St Mirren
2-0
Dundee
Greive (4'), Main (55')
Tait (35'), Kiltie (50'), Erhahon (63'), Gogic (89')

Sweeney (68')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1514104444043
2RangersRangers1611232891935
3Aberdeen17104331211034
4Motherwell178272327-426
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd166642519624
6St Mirren187382429-524
7Dundee175482730-319
8Hibernian184682430-618
9Kilmarnock184681935-1618
10Ross County183691435-2115
11St Johnstone1742112032-1214
12Hearts1734101826-813


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