Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | Aberdeen |
43.87% ( 1.12) | 26.26% ( -0.06) | 29.87% ( -1.06) |
Both teams to score 51.56% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.22% ( -0.19) | 52.78% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.59% ( -0.16) | 74.4% ( 0.16) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.08% ( 0.47) | 23.92% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.86% ( 0.67) | 58.13% ( -0.67) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.77% ( -0.86) | 32.23% ( 0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.28% ( -0.98) | 68.72% ( 0.99) |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | Aberdeen |
1-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.73% Total : 43.87% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.69% Total : 29.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
9 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
10 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |