Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 64.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Hibernian had a probability of 16.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Hibernian win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | Hibernian |
64.29% ( -0.04) | 19.55% ( 0) | 16.15% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 55.85% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.39% ( 0.06) | 38.61% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.09% ( 0.06) | 60.91% ( -0.07) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.65% ( 0) | 11.35% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.96% ( 0.01) | 36.04% ( -0.02) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63% ( 0.08) | 37% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.21% ( 0.08) | 73.79% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | Hibernian |
2-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.17% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.9% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.71% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 4.22% Total : 64.29% | 1-1 @ 9.08% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.55% | 1-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.17% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.08% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.26% Total : 16.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |