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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 11
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Celtic Park
Hibs logo

Celtic
6 - 1
Hibernian

Forrest (9', 24', 58'), Giakoumakis (18', 73'), Maeda (89')
O'Riley (52')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Youan (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Celtic and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 0-2 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, October 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-0 Hibernian
Tuesday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Celtic 2-1 Hibernian

In a match with significant ramifications at the top end of the Scottish Premiership, we expect an entertaining game at Celtic Park with plenty of goalmouth action. That being said, Celtic will edge this one due to their quality of chance creation which should see them claim an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 64.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Hibernian had a probability of 16.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Hibernian win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
CelticDrawHibernian
64.29% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 19.55% (0.0019999999999989 0) 16.15% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.85% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.39% (0.059000000000005 0.06)38.61% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.09% (0.063000000000002 0.06)60.91% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)11.35% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.96% (0.012999999999998 0.01)36.04% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63% (0.082000000000001 0.08)37% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.21% (0.084 0.08)73.79% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Celtic 64.29%
    Hibernian 16.15%
    Draw 19.55%
CelticDrawHibernian
2-0 @ 9.94% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.14% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.21% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.92% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.94% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 64.29%
1-1 @ 9.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.55%
1-2 @ 4.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.17% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 2.08% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.5% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 16.15%

How you voted: Celtic vs Hibernian

Celtic
84.9%
Draw
13.2%
Hibernian
1.9%
53
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2022 12pm
Hibernian
0-0
Celtic

Stevenson (45+1'), Porteous (68'), Bushiri (84'), Allan (90+3'), Cadden (90+6')

Starfelt (23'), Rogic (45')
Jan 17, 2022 7.45pm
Celtic
2-0
Hibernian
Maeda (4'), Juranovic (25' pen.)
Rogic (63')

Doyle-Hayes (58'), Bushiri (77')
Dec 19, 2021 3pm
Hibernian
1-2
Celtic
Hanlon (51')
Doyle-Hayes (36'), Nisbet (43')
Furuhashi (52', 72')
Juranovic (35'), Johnston (83')
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
Hibernian
1-3
Celtic
Boyle (37')
Gogic (29'), Porteous (53')
Ralston (10'), Carter-Vickers (14'), Furuhashi (30')
McGregor (69')
May 15, 2021 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78


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