We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Celtic
Atletico have recorded only four clean sheets from their first 15 games of the season - and just one in the last seven - so Celtic should have hope of scoring at the Metropolitano. However, Atleti have proven too strong for any side on home soil over the past few months, and they certainly boast the firepower to post back-to-back wins over the Scottish champions.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.