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Motherwell logo
Scottish League Cup | Second Round
Aug 31, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Fir Park
Inverness CT

Motherwell
4 - 0
Inverness

van Veen (9', 38' pen., 67' pen.), Devine (26' og.)
Slattery (19')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Deas (55'), Ridgers (66'), Boyd (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish League Cup clash between Motherwell and Inverness Caledonian Thistle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-1 Motherwell
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Motherwell 2-0 Inverness Caledonian Thistle

Motherwell will be backing themselves to come away with the desired results as they face an out-of-sorts Inverness side who have stumbled in recent weeks. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the sides, we are backing the hosts to take the positives from their weekend performances and come out victorious against the Championship side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
42.8% (0.661 0.66) 26.83% (-0.427 -0.43) 30.37% (-0.234 -0.23)
Both teams to score 50.06% (1.169 1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.18% (1.541 1.54)54.82% (-1.54 -1.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.87% (1.261 1.26)76.12% (-1.26 -1.26)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (1.048 1.05)25.37% (-1.048 -1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.84% (1.417 1.42)60.16% (-1.416 -1.42)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.08% (0.633 0.63)32.92% (-0.633 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.5% (0.697 0.7)69.5% (-0.69699999999999 -0.7)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 42.79%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 30.37%
    Draw 26.83%
MotherwellDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 11.45% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.152 0.15)
2-0 @ 7.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.99% (0.186 0.19)
3-0 @ 3.59% (0.108 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.139 0.14)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.102 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 42.79%
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 8.35% (-0.512 -0.51)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.167 0.17)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 9.28% (-0.4 -0.4)
1-2 @ 7.07% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.058 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 30.37%

Head to Head
May 20, 2017 3pm
Inverness
3-2
Motherwell
Tansey (64'), Fisher (66', 67')
McFadden (73'), Bowman (93' pen.)
Apr 15, 2017 3pm
Motherwell
4-2
Inverness
Cadden (7'), Moult (9'), McDonald (65'), Campbell (70')
Fisher (21', 54')
Dec 28, 2016 7.45pm
Inverness
1-2
Motherwell
Tansey (90')
Cole (36'), McKay (40'), Fisher (77'), Vigurs (89')
Clay (50'), McDonald (87')
Moult (59')
Oct 26, 2016 7.45pm
Motherwell
0-3
Inverness
Tremarco (57'), Doumbouya (71'), Polworth (83')
Tremarco (85')
Apr 2, 2016 3pm
Inverness
1-2
Motherwell
Vigurs (70' pen.)
Tremarco (41'), Draper (83')
Ainsworth (62'), Johnson (94')
McDonald (90')
rhs 2.0
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